ExtZy 2013 The World In Review

ExtZy is a set of prediction markets which Z/Yen run and fund in order to learn about markets.  The "Countries" Market is one where players buy and sell shares which pay dividends based on a country's web mentions, as calculated by search engines.  Each share has a price and dividend earnings.  Thus the price/earnings ratio (P/E) of countries in such a market is an indicator of whether or not players predict a higher than normal rate of mentions (high P/E) looking forward, or a lower than normal rate of mentions (low P/E) looking forward.

2013 Overview

There are 245 registered country entities on ExtZy.  74 are relatively active in this year.  96 traders participated in 2013:

Total Trades Total Volume Entity Active Entity Shareholders Volume/ Trade Trades/ Active Entity Trades/ Shareholder
117 9800 245 74 96 83.76 1.58 1.22


The trading for the year was half that of 2012 - 30,455.37 (2012: 61,800.22, a decrease of 50.72%)

Most Actives in 2013

Most Actives is the countries with a larger number of transactions and trade volumes in 2013.

Country Name Volume Price Chg %Chg 52 Week High 52 Week Low
1 United States 103 10.95 2.91 36.19% 10.95 8.04
2 United Kingdom 101 11.80 6.40 118.52% 11.80 5.40
3 Russian Federation 402 1.81 0.09 5.23% 1.81 0.62
4 Pakistan 393 2.00 -0.96 -32.43% 3.30 2.00
5 Egypt 261 3.47 0.36 11.58% 3.47 1.64
6 Madagascar 210 1.55 0.1 6.90% 1.55 0.40
7 Singapore 178 1.95 -0.95 -32.76% 3.85 1.95
8 South Africa 139 2.00 0 0.00% 29.99 2.00
9 Jordan 100 8.99 2.02 28.98% 8.99 6.97
10 Australia 83 1.98 -5.51 -73.56% 7.49 1.98
11 North Korea 20 7.51 3.4 82.73% 7.51 4.11
12 Saudi Arabia 400 2.93 0.45 18.15% 2.94 1.59
13 Taiwan, Province of China 400 2.94 1.35 84.91% 2.98 2.48
14 Portugal 363 2.52 0.72 40.00% 2.52 1.80
15 Netherlands 241 1.11 -0.88 -44.22% 2.52 1.11

Most Volatiles in 2013

On ExtZy, when there is an event that is likely to impact the dividend of a country (e.g., war, sporting events, celebrity death, etc.,) there is a price increase.  Most Volatiles is a list of countries on which public opinion had been affected largely and frequently in 2013.

Country Name Interval Standard Deviation Annualized Standard Deviation 52 Week High 52 Week Low
1 Bouvet Island 0.612 4.411 13.75 0.16
2 Serbia 0.556 4.013 50.00 0.87
3 South Africa 0.531 3.829 29.99 2.00
4 United States Minor Outlying Islands 0.341 2.461 0.12 0.01
5 French Southern Territories 0.331 2.390 0.67 0.06
6 Madagascar 0.246 1.776 1.55 0.40
7 Russian Federation 0.205 1.479 1.81 0.62
8 India 0.201 1.449 13.39 3.10
9 Australia 0.180 1.297 7.49 1.98
10 Moldova, Republic of 0.162 1.165 1.20 0.37

Highest Yield Dividend Stocks in 2013

Dividends are calculated on a weekly basis based on the web mentions of each country entity on ExtZy.  Thus popular country yields will be higher than "normal".  The following 10 countries were paying dividends that range from 214.33% to nearly 845% in 2013. The dividend yields below were calculated by adding up each country's dividend payments over the 12 months in 2013 and then dividing that figure by the closing price of each country on 31 December 2013.  The dividend yield is the dividend payout with reference to the market price of the country.  It indicates whether it is worthwhile to make an investment in a particular country.

Country Name Current Dividend Yield Current Price Annual Dividend
1 Mayotte 845.30% 0.25 2.113
2 Macao 445.81% 0.62 2.764
3 Australia 291.78% 1.98 5.777
4 Gibraltar 258.87% 1.37 3.546
5 Barbados 251.26% 1.39 3.492
6 Singapore 250.80% 1.95 4.891
7 Moldova, Republic of 245.38% 0.37 0.908
8 Sweden 238.67% 1.70 4.057
9 Bulgaria 225.58% 1.50 3.384
10 Guernsey 214.33% 1.31 2.808